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The next few days of polls may very well show a continued Donald Trump lead among Republican contenders following this week’s presidential debate, but data from the event showed some hope for other candidates who’ve been trying to break through.
On the latest episode of Variety‘s “PopPolitics” on SiriusXM, Josh Ginsberg of ZignalLabs says that during the debate Trump captured about 23% of mentions in traditional and social media, whereas a typical day for him is usually 45% or as high as 60%.
“When he has to share the stage with others … he doesn’t have the same ability to really break through, especially when people touch on policy and things like that,” Ginsberg says.
Alan Schroeder, a professor at Northeastern University, said that “the problem is that he is extremely repetitious in what he says. If you watch one rally you have watched them all, and there is going to come a point where the novelty of that, if it hasn’t worn off already, quickly will.”
Schroeder is the author of “Presidential Debates: 50 Years of High Risk TV.”
He says, “It reminds me of Ross Perot, when he came out of the gate in ’92 in the first debate. By the second debate, where he was giving literally the same sound bites, people were bored with it, and I think we may see something along that line with Donald Trump.”
Of course, Trump has defied expectations before, but Wednesday’s debate proved to be a breakout for Carly Fiorina (landing an appearance on “The Tonight Show” on Monday) and a better gathering forJeb Bush.